The election results in the five Indian states in the recently concluded polling have confirmed the long-term trend of the decline of national parties—the Congress and the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). Though these two parties continue to lead the two major coalitions at the federal level, it is state and regional outfits that continue to gain strength. In the state of Uttar Pradesh (UP)—a state so large that it would be the fifth most populous in the world had it been an independent country, the Samajwadi Party is back in power after decimating the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP). The BJP and the Congress have been relegated to the third and fourth positions. The outgoing BSP government created history when a party representing the Dalits (the former ‘untouchables’) came to power on its own. The focus of the party to cater to its base meant that it alienated other major constituents—Brahmins and Muslims—that had engineered its victory in the 2007 elections. On a side note, the BJP has, for the first time since the demolition of the Babri Masjid, lost the assembly elections in Ayodhya, the purported birth place of Lord Rama. In Punjab, the Shiromani Akali Dal (SAD)-led front maintained the same number of seats that it had in the outgoing assembly. So did the Congress. The Akali Dal’s partner—the BJP declined from 19 seats to 12, while the SAD’s made up for the lost seats. In the other three smaller states, the key contenders have continued to be the Congress and the BJP, the Congress and the BJP are set to form the government in one each while in the third state (Uttarakhand), it could be either—so thin is the margin as this goes to print. From a national perspective, these states are too small and on the fringes, which makes it all the more ironic that the so- called national par-ties are the main contenders here. For the Congress, the UP elections are not good news for its future leader Rahul Gandhi, who has devoted a number of the years in trying to rebuild the party in the state that influences, if not determines, which party rules in New Delhi. On the other hand, the sons of the SP and the SAD chiefs are credited with the resounding success of the respective parties.







